Dodgers go for split with Mets in LA

Baseball Betting Lines

07/22/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Dodgers will try for a series split with the New York Mets, and maintain their new lead in the National League West, when the two clubs wrap their four-game series this afternoon at Dodger Stadium.

Thanks in part to recent struggles by San Diego that includes a current two- game losing streak, the Dodgers jumped over the Padres and into first place in the NL West by a game courtesy of an 8-6 victory over the Mets on Saturday.

Matt Kemp hit a three-run homer as part of a five-run fourth inning and Juan Pierre added two hits and a pair of RBI to extend his hitting streak to 14 games for the Dodgers, who had dropped the first two games of this series.

Brad Penny (12-1) went 6 1/3 innings, allowing four runs -- three earned -- on six hits with a pair of walks and five strikeouts. With the win, he became the first starting pitcher to open a season 12-1 for the Dodgers since the franchise moved to Los Angeles in 1958.

Jorge Sosa (7-5) gave up six runs and eight hits over four innings for New York, which had won three of four coming in. However, the loss, coupled with Atlanta's win over St. Louis, cut the Mets' lead to just 2 1/2 games for the top spot in the NL East over the Braves.

Carlos Beltran and David Wright both contributed two-run home runs. It was Beltran's third straight game with a homer.

Los Angeles' Eric Stults will get the starting nod today for the first time this season and for just the third time in his career. The left-hander has made four relief appearances with the Dodgers this year, going 0-1 with a 5.06 earned run average in that span. He was last in action on Tuesday when he tossed three innings against the Phillies, allowing four runs on eight hits.

Stults' first career start came against the Mets last year and he picked up his lone career win when he threw six frames of one-run ball on September 10, 2006.

Mark Hendrickson was originally slated to start this contest for LA, but threw two innings of relief in this series on Thursday and had his next start pushed back to Tuesday.

The Mets will send Orlando Hernandez to the hill this afternoon, and the hurler is coming off two straight wins that upped his record to 6-4 on the season with a shining 2.96 ERA.

Hernandez posted a win over Cincinnati on July 12 behind six innings of two- run ball before topping the Padres on the road Tuesday. The right-hander tossed seven shutout innings against San Diego, scattering two hits and a pair of walks in the victory.

"El Duque" faced the Dodgers on June 11 and took the loss after allowing five runs (four earned). He is 1-2 lifetime against them with a 5.64 ERA.

The Dodgers swept a three-game series against New York this season from June 11-13 at Chavez Ravine. The Mets went 4-3 against LA in the 2006 series and swept Los Angeles in three games during last October's NL playoffs.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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